The BBC now have a great page with loads of links regarding the current status of things:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi
The flight restriction has now been extended to 1am Saturday 17th, see http://www.nats.co.uk/ for further updates..You can also see updates on the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre website: http://metoffice.com/aviat
The problem at the moment is that the volcano is still erupting, and that the wind movements over the UK and Europe are very slow, and blowing ash across the UK. Regarding the volcano, it is still erupting. Most volcanologists in Iceland feel that the volcano will not erupt at such explosive levels for more than a few days, but it could continue for weeks or months. However, the intensity is likely to drop within a few days. There is no website with monitoring data like the wonderful USGS websites, so at the moment the likely behavior the volcano is based on past behavior. According to Prof Bill McGuire on http://www.abuhrc.org/news
Coming back to practicalities though, it is very hard to say if the flight restrictions will be removed by tomorrow. I think that things are not looking too optimistic right now. So my advice would be to get yourself booked in for a few more days and try and make the most of your extended break and get yourself booked up on a flight as soon as possible. It will be pandemonium here as so many flights have been missed and people will be trying to get seats on already fully booked flights.The trains and ferries are also overbooked, so be cautious if flying into mainland Europe to get across to the UK.
Hope this information gives you the tools to do some monitoring yourself. If you are frustrated about the situation, read http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi
Thanks for that. Very useful! I hadn't seen the VAAC pictures with this level of detail on them as the news services seem to use a reduced version instead. I'm assuming that FL200 means Flight Level 20,000ft? Also, what does the SFC label mean?
ReplyDeleteSFC is the distance from the surface upwards to the flight level (FL) specified.
ReplyDelete